Allen Robinson OVER 11.5 receiving yards (-110) The Patriots’ 0.02 EPA per dropback allowed ranks fifth-highest among passing defenses this season, while their 54.6% defensive success rate against the pass ranks 11th-lowest, per NFL Next Gen Stats. The Patriots’ run defense has been a greater point of strength than their pass defense, and given that the Steelers could be without two starting offensive linemen, this game could pivot toward the pass if the run is deemed ineffective. While the point total is exceedingly low in this outing, set at just 30 points on DraftKings Sportsbook, the Patriots, much like the Steelers, have been a bend-don’t-break type of defense, ranking 17th in the league giving up just under 222 pass yards per game to opposing quarterbacks despite allowing the fifth-fewest passing touchdowns per game. The Patriots have allowed the opposing quarterback 184+ passing yards in nine of 12 games so far this season meanwhile, Trubisky has notched 255 passing yards over his last two halves played subbing in for Pickett, combined. Putting stock in any of these assets to hit the over will be a risky venture, but with Mitch Trubisky’s passing yard total sitting at 180.5 yards, the over is looking rather appealing. Wager on the game with our partners at DraftKings Sportsbook! Mitch Trubisky OVER 180.5 passing yards (-115)
